Jeff I admire your dedication! What an ambitious task for a Sunday afternoon. I think you've made a very credible start and are really moving in the right direction.
Here's what I see when I look at these images close together. Differences in the shapes of: the hat, the lower ear, the shape in the lower center of the nose (what's that called?), the lower right cheek area, and the eye alignment.
These things can be easily fixed (though the hat may take some serious erasing since it's such a large dark shape) and I don't think you're that far off.
Nice job!
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